Brisbane: Foresight International.ĭe Jouvenel, B. Ramos (Eds.), The knowledge base of futures studies (Professional CD-ROM ed.). Advancing futures: Futures studies in higher education. Issue Title: ‘Futures studies in higher education’, JA Dator (ed.).ĭator, J. The future lies behind! Thirty years of teaching future studies. Meteoritics and Planetary Science, 40(6), 817–840. Earth impact effects program: A web-based computer program for calculating the regional environmental consequences of a meteoroid impact on earth. Profiles of the future: An inquiry into the limits of the possible (Millennium ed.). Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics, 43(1), 31–74. Astrobiology: The study of the living universe. The holy universe: A new story of creation for the heart, soul and spirit. Boston: McGraw-Hill Education.Ĭhristopher, D. Big history: Between nothing and everything. Reinventing intelligence: Why collective learning makes humans so different, 31m59s, Techonomy Conference, Lake Tahoe. Chantilly: The Teaching Company.Ĭhristian, D. Big history: The big bang, life on earth, and the rise of humanity, 48 lectures, 30 mins/lecture. Berkeley: University of California Press.Ĭhristian, D. Maps of time: An introduction to big history. Information management for the intelligent organization: The art of scanning the environment (3rd ed.). Bulletin of the American Society for Information Science, 25(3), 21–24.Ĭhoo, C. Systems thinking, systems practice: Includes a 30-year retrospective (new ed.). Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 222(1), 1–15. The hazard of near-Earth asteroid impacts on Earth. Cosmic evolution: From the big bang to humankind. New York: Columbia University Press.Ĭhaisson, E. Epic of evolution: Seven ages of the cosmos (new paperback ed.). Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Ĭhaisson, E. Cosmic evolution: The rise of complexity in nature. Great Barrington: Berkshire Publishing Group.Ĭhaisson, E. Big history, small world: From the big bang to you.
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World on the edge: How to prevent environmental and economic collapse. Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to save civilization. Big history: From the big bang to the present. Futures Research Quarterly, 15(2), 7–13.īrown, C. Ten ways futurists can avoid being destroyed. The spike: How our lives are being transformed by rapidly advancing technologies. New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers.īroderick, D. Spiral dynamics: Mastering values, leadership and change. The Oil Drum Europe,, viewed 29 Sept 2015. Cassandra’s curse: How “The Limits to Growth” was demonized. The futures field: Searching for definitions and boundaries. The futures field: Functions, forms, and critical issues. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Īmara, R. A user’s guide to the crisis of civilisation: And how to save it. New Haven: Yale University Press.Īhmed, N. The new universe and the human future: How a shared cosmology could transform the world. Generic Foresight Process (GFP) frameworkĪbrams, N.This suggests undertaking an anticipatory program of continuing research and exploration into both the underlying nature and the emergent characteristics of the coming transition to “Threshold 9,” in order to prepare for, and perhaps mitigate, its more unwelcome aspects. Such a future trajectory clearly has major implications for the level of complexity possible for human civilization. We find that, of the four main “generic” archetypal futures identified by James Dator, the most probable global future currently in prospect – barring a major catastrophic shock, technological energy breakthrough, or similar low-probability “wildcard” event – is a slowly unfolding collapse or “descent” over a timescale of decades to centuries toward a “constrained” or “disciplined” human society characterized by ever-declining access to easy sources of fossil fuel-based energy. We will make use of the “eight-threshold” formulation of Big History due to David Christian and examine some of the conceptual possibilities that arise when we consciously and systematically consider the question of what the next major threshold in Big History – what we might therefore call “Threshold 9” – may look like in broad outline. This chapter will introduce the generic foresight process framework, examine a variety of different types of futures thinking, “locate” the use of macrohistorical models within the broader foresight process, examine some key aspects of the Big History perspective, and use this perspective to think systematically about the “contours” of the possible futures of human civilization at the global scale, as it emerges from the complex dynamics of the present.
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